Economist 2024 Election Model. The economist’s model of america’s presidential election estimates each major candidate’s chances of winning each state and the overall electoral college. Today the economist launched its statistical forecast model for the 2024 us presidential election, which, at the moment, gives joe biden a 34% chance of holding on to the presidency.
The economist’s model of america’s presidential election estimates each major candidate’s chances of winning each state and the overall electoral college. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size,.